{"store":{"baseInfo":{"podcastTitle":"Nullius in Verba","slug":"nulliusinverba","podcastDescription":"Nullius in Verba is a podcast about science—what it is and what it could be. It is hosted by Smriti Mehta from UC Berkeley and Daniël Lakens from Eindhoven University of Technology. \n\n\nWe draw inspiration from the book Novum Organum, written in 1620 by Francis Bacon, which laid the foundations of the modern scientific method. Our logo is an homage to the title page of Novum Organum, which depicts a galleon passing between the mythical Pillars of Hercules on either side of the Strait of Gibraltar, which have been smashed by Iberian sailors to open a new world for exploration. Just as this marks the exit from the well-charted waters of the Mediterranean into the Atlantic Ocean, Bacon hoped that empirical investigation will similarly smash the old scientific ideas and lead to a greater understanding of the natural world. \n\n\nThe title of the podcast comes from the motto of the Royal Society, set in typeface Kepler by Robert Slimbach. Our theme song is Newton’s Cradle by Grandbrothers.","podcastLogo":"https://pbcdn1.podbean.com/imglogo/image-logo/12078702/nullius_in_verba_logo_smaller_size_f88kkv.jpg","podcastShareLogo":"https://d2bwo9zemjwxh5.cloudfront.net/image-logo/12078702/nullius_in_verba_logo_smaller_size_f88kkv_1200x628.jpg?s=f7d96cb7d5957ed9a9f773ee66d38c32&e=jpg","podcastUrl":"https://nulliusinverba.podbean.com","podcastCanSearched":true,"feedUrl":"https://feed.podbean.com/nulliusinverba/feed.xml","theme":"waves","podcastDeepLink":"https://www.podbean.com/pu/pbblog-sgek9-b84e6e","removePodbeanBranding":"no","brandingLogo":null,"timeZone":{"timeZoneId":33,"gmtAdjustment":"GMT+01:00","useDaylightTime":1,"value":1,"text":"(GMT+01:00) Brussels, Copenhagen, Madrid, Paris","daylightStartTime":"Second Sunday Of March +2 Hours","daylightEndTime":"First Sunday Of November +2 Hours","timezone":"Europe/Brussels"},"podcastDownloads":null,"totalEpisodes":74,"showComments":true,"iOSAppDownloadLink":null,"customizeCssUrl":null,"androidAppDownloadLink":null,"showPostShare":true,"showLike":true,"author":"Smriti Mehta and Daniël Lakens","engagementStatsBaseUrl":"https://d1.podbean.com/webplayer_engagement?u=67ee4d5781d50cbb0a0c9acb","shareEmbedLink":"https://admin5.podbean.com/embed.html?id=pbblog-sgek9-b84e6e-playlist","language":"en","sensitivitySessionExpireTime":3600,"podcastApps":[{"name":"Apple Podcasts","link":"https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/nullius-in-verba/id1672861665","image":"https://pbcdn1.podbean.com/fs1/site/images/admin5/apple-podcast.png","title":null},{"name":"Podbean App","link":"https://r4j68.app.goo.gl/?link=https%3A%2F%2Fnulliusinverba.podbean.com%3Faction%3DopenPodcast%26podcastId%3Dpbblog12078702%26podcastIdTag%3Dsgek9&dfl=https%3A%2F%2Fnulliusinverba.podbean.com&utm_campaign=pb_web&utm_source=podbean_web&utm_medium=dlink&imv=670&amv=530&isi=973361050&ibi=com.podbean.app.podcast&ipbi=com.podbean.app.podcast&apn=com.podbean.app.podcast","image":"https://pbcdn1.podbean.com/fs1/site/images/admin5/podbean-app.png","title":null},{"name":"Spotify","link":"https://open.spotify.com/show/0tw0yVZxuf2X4iN6kFay5A","image":"https://pbcdn1.podbean.com/fs1/site/images/admin5/spotify.png","title":null},{"name":"Amazon Music","link":"https://music.amazon.com/podcasts/df78c151-8902-4a3c-8060-8d9835b3a590","image":"https://pbcdn1.podbean.com/fs1/site/images/admin5/AmazonMusic.png","title":null},{"name":"TuneIn + Alexa","link":"https://tunein.com/radio/Nullius-in-Verba-p3503117/","image":"https://pbcdn1.podbean.com/fs1/site/images/admin5/tunein.png","title":null},{"name":"PlayerFM","link":"https://player.fm/series/3449375","image":"https://pbcdn1.podbean.com/fs1/site/images/admin5/PlayerFM.png","title":null},{"name":"Listen Notes","link":"https://www.listennotes.com/podcasts/nullius-in-verba-smriti-mehta-and-dani%C3%ABl-ODyJiLoX_wr/","image":"https://pbcdn1.podbean.com/fs1/site/images/admin5/ListenNotes.png","title":null},{"name":"Podchaser","link":"https://www.podchaser.com/podcasts/nullius-in-verba-5094139","image":"https://pbcdn1.podbean.com/fs1/site/images/admin5/Podchaser.webp","title":null}],"components":{"base":[{"id":"MainStyle","val":"dark"},{"id":"Font","val":"Open Sans"},{"id":"SecondaryFont","val":"Open Sans"},{"id":"PlayerColor","val":"#3A61B9"},{"id":"PlayerStyle","val":"player1"},{"id":"PlayerWave","val":"show"},{"id":"Favicon","val":"https://mcdn.podbean.com/mf/web/exx9q5/nullius_in_verba_logo_final.jpg"},{"id":"CookiesNotice","val":"hide"},{"id":"CookiesNoticeContent","val":"

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In preparation for our discussion of \"Why Most Published Research Findings Are False\" by John Ioannidis from 2005, we read a very similar paper published 40 years earlier:

Neher, A. (1967). Probability Pyramiding, Research Error and the Need for Independent Replication. The Psychological Record, 17(2), 257–262. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF03393713

","publishTimestamp":1743181200,"duration":1187,"mediaUrl":"https://mcdn.podbean.com/mf/web/3eq52sjrbkwud4xk/prologue_56.mp3","mediaType":"audio/mpeg","shareLink":"https://admin5.podbean.com/embed.html?id=pb-guuz7-1859b6a","likedCount":0,"deepLink":"https://www.podbean.com/ew/pb-guuz7-1859b6a","transcriptUrl":null,"permalink":"/e/prologus-56-probability-pyramiding-a-neher/","downloadLink":"https://www.podbean.com/site/EpisodeDownload/PB1859B6AGUUZ7","fallbackResource":null,"fallbackResourceMimetype":null,"downloadCount":662,"status":"publish","hasMoreContent":false,"chaptersUrl":null,"explicit":false},"episodeShareLink":null,"deepLink":"https://www.podbean.com/ew/pb-guuz7-1859b6a","playlist":{"episodes":[],"current":0,"start":0,"stop":0,"playing":true,"playerLoading":true,"playbackRate":1,"playbackRateIndex":1},"toasts":[],"confirm":null,"customizeEditorFormZIndex":999,"lastRequestTime":null,"validateChangesOnBeforeunload":true,"windowWidth":1000,"VITE_FS1_CDN_URL_PREFIX":"https://pbcdn1.podbean.com/fs1","reloadStats":false},"episode":{"id":"pb25533290","idTag":"guuz7","title":"Prologus 56: Probability Pyramiding (A. Neher)","logo":"https://pbcdn1.podbean.com/imglogo/image-logo/12078702/nullius_in_verba_logo_smaller_size_f88kkv_300x300.jpg","shareLogo":"https://d2bwo9zemjwxh5.cloudfront.net/image-logo/12078702/nullius_in_verba_logo_smaller_size_f88kkv_1200x628.jpg?s=f7d96cb7d5957ed9a9f773ee66d38c32&e=jpg","largeLogo":"https://pbcdn1.podbean.com/imglogo/image-logo/12078702/nullius_in_verba_logo_smaller_size_f88kkv.jpg","previewContent":null,"content":"

In preparation for our discussion of \"Why Most Published Research Findings Are False\" by John Ioannidis from 2005, we read a very similar paper published 40 years earlier:

Neher, A. (1967). Probability Pyramiding, Research Error and the Need for Independent Replication. The Psychological Record, 17(2), 257–262. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF03393713

Prologus 56: Probability Pyramiding (A. Neher)

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